PublicProbability—Open
Will U.S. year-over-year CPI inflation for October 2026 be at least 3.0%?
Closes 30 Nov 23:00 UTCResolves by 2 DecCreator forecast 0.0%
Resolution criteria
Resolve YES if the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics' initial official release for October 2026 CPI reports a 12-month percentage change of 3.0% or higher for CPI-U, U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted. Resolve NO if it reports less than 3.0%. Use the initial release available by the resolution deadline and do not use later revisions.
www.bls.gov/cpi/ →Resolver: creator24h dispute window
Criteria cannot be edited after the first forecast — only clarified.
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