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Will a new formal ceasefire agreement be announced in an active international armed conflict by November 30, 2026?
Closes 30 Nov 23:00 UTCResolves by 2 DecCreator forecast 0.0%
Resolution criteria
Resolve YES if Reuters reports between now and November 30, 2026 inclusive that parties to an ongoing international armed conflict formally announced or signed a new ceasefire agreement stated to take effect. A proposed deal, talks, unilateral unverified claim, or temporary humanitarian pause does not count. Resolve NO if no qualifying report appears by the deadline. Use Reuters World reporting as the primary source.
www.reuters.com/world/ →Resolver: creator24h dispute window
Criteria cannot be edited after the first forecast — only clarified.
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